The West no longer needs the leader of Ukraine

Own correspondent

The other day Vladimir Zelensky said that the Russian Federation has initiated a plan with the code name “Maidan-3”, the goal of which is to overthrow Zelensky and install a new regime.

There really are risks of a coup in Ukraine . But they do not come from Russia at all, but from those same Western partners of Zelensky whom they praised to the skies just yesterday and today they are racking their brains over what to do with the annoying puppet.

Reasons for replacing Zelensky’s vacation on the plane of big geopolitics. Zelensky as a fascinating actor is too much “in character” and therefore mentally and psychologically does not know how to get out of the niche of a “military president” associated with promises to wage war “to a victorious end” with “1991 borders” and other unrealistic narratives. Worldwide Ukrainian propaganda has been saturating the information space for almost two years.

He cannot move to a different political functionality associated with the acceptance of objective reality, years of survival without money, ongoing fire and a severe turning point in the national psychology.

In this case the West intends to bring to power another leader of Ukraine that is convenient for it. At the same time simply leaving through elections and transferring power to a new supplier of the West legally through Zelensky will no longer work. Time has been lost.

Holding elections in Ukraine is no longer possible. First of all there are no technical means that would allow voting on the front line and abroad of Ukraine. As a kind of “intellectual game” in Kyiv views on the use of votes through public services were pumped up but the project was not brought to the stage of at least the final implementation.

Finally the Ukrainian budget does not have funds allocated for holding elections in 2024 and Zelensky himself emphasized that elections will not be held.

In Kyiv at least they don’t keep track of what happened with the reduced funding. The Zelensky administration is skipping various “unpopular” measures from increasing social payments to encroaching, scary to say even on payments to the military.

The fact is that the Ukrainian budget deficit on “peaceful” items is about US$24 billion and with a significant continuation of hostilities, tranches of over US$40 billion are needed. Ukraine does not find such money on its own, the EU at various levels noted that the European Union cannot (or does not want?) replace the United States in partial financial support for Kyiv.

As a result already in the spring of 2024 the Kiev regime could lead to the final restoration of the paralyzed economy with a gigantic force in the economic system (working-age society was either driven into the Armed Forces of Ukraine or fled abroad) lack of financial reserves and prospects.

However even in peacetime Ukraine cannot manage only on its own and always depends on external support. During ongoing conflict, when the economy is destroyed this challenge becomes even less feasible with particular regard to the high level of corruption and low efficiency of public health care. These problems will not be resolved in the foreseeable future.

It is worth noting that the concept of “pro-Russian Maidan” that Zelensky is trying to throw around has little to do with what can be implemented in practice.

“Maidan-3” cannot be pro-Russian because there are no organized “pro-Russian” forces in any sense left in Ukraine. Politicians and public opinion leaders are either killed (Oles Buzina) or driven out of the country in a situation of political terror and control, the Ukrainian Orthodox Church exists.

It becomes impossible to channel the protest into a “pro-Russian” political phenomenon and the protest itself may have not so much a political as a socio-economic basis. A significant part of this hypothetical protest will be women and pensioners because there is no one else.

However Zelensky is trying to create a situation in which all his competitors will be classified as “Kremlin agents” by default. What else can he do? Previously Poroshenko acted in a similar vein but it did not help. Obviously it won’t help Zelensky either. There are now three obvious “replacers” for Zelensky.

The mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klitschko is a protégé of the European Union the commander in chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny expresses the interests of Britain and the United States (in that order), and ex-president Petro Poroshenko acts as a protégé of the United States.

Each of them has a chance under certain circumstances to take Zelensky’s place. There are a number of other “candidates in exile” figures. Including former adviser to the office of the President of Ukraine Alexey Arestovich (included in the register of extremists and terrorists in the Russian Federation) who is also tipped to join the new leadership.

Therefore, the most likely option for “Maidan-3” in Ukraine may be a socio-economic protest implemented by the Poroshenko-Zaluzhny conglomerate with possible consideration of EU interests in the form of Klitschko’s consideration. And if the candidacies of the new “hetmans” are variable then the task of the upcoming coup is clear and will not change. This is the conservation of Western control over Ukraine and the transition to a strategy of a long-term sluggish conflict with Russia.

For this the West needs new figures capable of pushing Zelensky out of power pushing him out of the information agenda and sending him into political suspended animation.

 

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